IIRC the majority of child molesters are non-pedophilic in the clinical sense and I’d imagine this is even more true for post-pubescent minors. Additionally there have been neurological findings that differentiate offending vs non-offending pedophiles, mostly to do with risk-taking behaviors (as in, pedophiles that are generally risk-avoidant are also less likely to offend). So just being a pedophile might not be as strong of a prognostic factor for predicting abuse as one would think.
IIRC the majority of child molesters are non-pedophilic in the clinical sense and I’d imagine this is even more true for post-pubescent minors. Additionally there have been neurological findings that differentiate offending vs non-offending pedophiles, mostly to do with risk-taking behaviors (as in, pedophiles that are generally risk-avoidant are also less likely to offend). So just being a pedophile might not be as strong of a prognostic factor for predicting abuse as one would think.