When China says they’re not interested in full, overseas military adventurism, I actually believe them. China is so big, unwieldy and diverse that even in good times it’s hard to keep it stable internally, and one thing the Chinese government is VERY good at is taking an EXTREMELY long-term view of its actions. If China decides to act against the US, it will be in myriad subtle and indirect ways that accomplish its goals without sudden shock and exposure.
Incidentally, the US itself is also a fantastic example of why China WON’T do that. Post WW2, with very few exceptions, almost EVERY instance of US military adventurism has ended in failure, or at the very least, not gained the US anything compared to the losses. But the US’s work in soft power, partnerships, and containment? That brought down the Soviet Union without firing a single shot.
China won’t be stupid enough to try to take America’s place by using the US’s loser tactics - it will do it using their successful ones.
China is a much too competent player to do it on their own, and frankly are very clear with their ambitions and challenges lying elsewhere.
However, supporting a Russian hybrid war effort to destabilize the US into civil war, and even potentially annex Alaska or the Bering strait, that I can see China do. As well as supporting others with a grudge against the US, at the very least diplomatically, if not through strategic trade.
If the US continues to antagonise it’s allies, I’m confident China will continue to be happy to pick up the slack. BRICS has got a significant boost post-Trump.
Sir, Russia can’t complete a 3 day special operation. If China had the will and firepower to stop the US they’d be able to do it without Russia.
And we don’t know if China would actually team up with the EU to fight the US, or let both sides weaken each other while they take over Taiwan.
When China says they’re not interested in full, overseas military adventurism, I actually believe them. China is so big, unwieldy and diverse that even in good times it’s hard to keep it stable internally, and one thing the Chinese government is VERY good at is taking an EXTREMELY long-term view of its actions. If China decides to act against the US, it will be in myriad subtle and indirect ways that accomplish its goals without sudden shock and exposure.
Incidentally, the US itself is also a fantastic example of why China WON’T do that. Post WW2, with very few exceptions, almost EVERY instance of US military adventurism has ended in failure, or at the very least, not gained the US anything compared to the losses. But the US’s work in soft power, partnerships, and containment? That brought down the Soviet Union without firing a single shot.
China won’t be stupid enough to try to take America’s place by using the US’s loser tactics - it will do it using their successful ones.
This.
China is a much too competent player to do it on their own, and frankly are very clear with their ambitions and challenges lying elsewhere.
However, supporting a Russian hybrid war effort to destabilize the US into civil war, and even potentially annex Alaska or the Bering strait, that I can see China do. As well as supporting others with a grudge against the US, at the very least diplomatically, if not through strategic trade.
If the US continues to antagonise it’s allies, I’m confident China will continue to be happy to pick up the slack. BRICS has got a significant boost post-Trump.
I don’t think China would team up with the EU explicitly, it would be more of a pact against a common adversary.